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Interglobal EcoVista ESG · Green Finance · EHS Intelligence Brief 1 / 2026
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The grid is growing. The map is not.

The EAPP serves 13 member States and more than 620 million citizens, making it the operational anchor of the African Single Electricity Market. Between 2024 and 2026 member States commissioned over 8 GW of low-carbon generation capacity. The build-out is real — and it is landing in the wrong places.

Key strategic finding

Generation has grown; access has not equalised. Surpluses in Ethiopia, Tanzania and Uganda sit alongside structural deficits in eastern DR Congo (−9.7%), Sudan (−16.7%) and South Sudan (−56.7%). Cross-border transmission and a transparent wholesale clearing mechanism are the prerequisites for regional industrial competitiveness — not follow-on projects.

Member States13nations620M+ citizens served
Installed capacity76.8GW
Peak demand ~58.4 GW · 76% utilised
Inter-utility capacity4,720MWExpanded from 654 MW — a 7.2× increase
Hydro dominance61.0%Gas 22% · Geothermal 7% · Other RE 10%

Published ·18 min read·Intelligence Brief 1 / 2026

Section IIRegional generation dynamics

Capacity against the peak it has to serve

Installed capacity tells you what a member State owns. Set against national peak demand, it tells you what the region can trade — and where the shortfall has to be bought at diesel prices.

Installed capacity vs. peak demand

Bars show installed capacity; the marker on each bar is national peak demand.

Megawatts
Source: UNECA / EAPP 2026
Egypt · EEHCShown separately: at 58,000 MW Egypt exceeds the rest of the pool combined and would flatten every other bar on a shared scale.
Installed58,000 MW
Peak demand35,000 MW
Reserve margin+65.7%
Scroll chart horizontally →
View as table

Reserve margin

Capacity above or below peak demand, as a share of peak demand. Positive is exportable headroom; negative is a structural deficit.

(Capacity − Peak) ÷ Peak
Percent
  • Surplus / exportable headroom
  • Structural deficit
Scroll chart horizontally →
Section IIIEnergy technology diversification

Four fleets, four different bets

Member States have not converged on a common technology stack. Kenya leads on geothermal and variable renewables; Ethiopia and Uganda run hydro cascades; Egypt balances combined-cycle gas against solar and wind; Tanzania pairs new hydro with domestic gas. Complementarity — not uniformity — is what makes a pool worth trading in.

Figure 1National generation stack profiles & regional master plan view, 2026 — from the source Intelligence Brief.Click to enlarge

Regional generation mix

Share of the pool's ~76.8 GW installed base, by technology.

Percent of installed capacity

    Kenya fleet & dispatch anchors

    Named assets against a 3,841 MW grid total. Olkaria supplies non-intermittent baseload at capacity factors above 92%; the Seven Forks hydro cascade carries dynamic spinning reserve for the National Control Centre in Nairobi.

    Total grid capacity
    3,841 MW
    Scroll chart horizontally →

    Balance of the fleet — the Seven Forks hydro cascade (Gitaru, Kamburu, Kiambere) and thermal IPPs — is not itemised in the source brief and is shown as one residual band.

    Cross-cuttingCost of energy

    A twenty-two-fold spread in the price of a kilowatt-hour

    The single most consequential number in the brief. Ethiopian hydro clears at 2.5¢/kWh. A mine in Katanga, 1,500 km away and unconnected, pays up to 55¢/kWh for diesel. Every corridor in Section IV is an argument about closing this gap.

    Levelised and delivered cost, by source

    Bars show the stated point cost; the lighter extension shows the upper bound where the brief gives a range.

    US$ per kWh
    Scroll chart horizontally →
    View as table
    Section IVPhysical grid integration

    Interconnection corridors and critical bottlenecks

    Physical integration rests on HVDC backbones for long-distance asynchronous transfer and HVAC lines for regional synchronisation. Four missing links isolate generation hubs from the power-deficient industrial regions that need them.

    Figure 2EAPP renaissance — network, projects and regional integration — from the source Intelligence Brief.Click to enlarge
    Corridor status
    Section VFinancial health & utility performance

    Losses are the cheapest generation nobody builds

    Utility solvency splits between cost-reflective regimes (Kenya, Rwanda) and heavily subsidised systems (Ethiopia, Sudan). Across the pool, transmission and distribution losses stay far above the 15% regional target — energy that is generated, paid for, and never billed.

    Transmission & distribution losses, by utility

    Every utility in the sample sits above the 15% regional target.

    Percent of energy dispatched
    Scroll chart horizontally →
    Interactive · Simulator 01

    Smart grid loss recovery

    Model the revenue recovered by cutting non-technical losses through Advanced Metering Infrastructure and split-prepaid smart meters. Move any control.

    5.0%
    5,000 GWh/yr
    $0.110 / kWh
    $27,500,000
    Projected annual revenue recovery
    250 GWh of energy returned to billing each year — equivalent to a 29 MW plant running flat out, built for the price of meters.
    Section VICompetitive trading infrastructure

    From bilateral contracts to a cleared market

    The EAPP is moving from static bilateral contracts to an automated Day-Ahead Market. Under merit-order dispatch the lowest-marginal-cost assets clear first, and the last asset called sets the System Marginal Price that every seller receives.

    Interactive · Simulator 02

    Merit-order market clearing

    Move regional demand and watch the stack fill from the bottom up. The System Marginal Price is set by the most expensive asset required to meet the last megawatt.

    3,200 MW
    $0.095
    System marginal price / kWh
    Marginal asset: Tanzania CCGT gas. Every dispatched seller is paid this price, regardless of its own cost.
    Sections VII & VIIIMinisterial directives

    Where the capital has to go

    To realise the African Single Electricity Market, the UNECA Secretariat directs member States and institutional investors toward a set of core capital-mobilisation pillars.

    Pillar 01

    Independent Transmission Projects

    Establish availability-based concession frameworks backed by DFI political risk insurance, to accelerate completion of the Tanzania–Zambia (ZTK) interconnector and the Uganda–DRC line.

    Target IRR 11%–14% USD
    Pillar 02

    Grid-scale battery storage

    Deploy 20–100 MW BESS installations at major transmission junction nodes — Suswa, Singida, Tororo — for primary frequency response, synthetic inertia and peak-hour arbitrage on the Day-Ahead Market.

    20–100 MW per node
    Pillar 03

    Advanced Metering Infrastructure

    Structure performance-based utility concessions to drive non-technical losses down across high-loss distribution grids — SNEL in DR Congo, EEU in Ethiopia.

    Regional target: below 15% losses
    Pillar 04

    Integrated Horn of Africa ties

    Mobilise climate finance for radial high-voltage interconnectors into Somalia and South Sudan, displacing expensive diesel mini-grids with low-cost regional hydro and geothermal imports.

    Displaces $0.30–0.50/kWh diesel
    ReferenceQuestions this brief answers

    Frequently asked

    The short answers, for readers arriving from search. Each one is expanded in the sections above.

    What is the Eastern Africa Power Pool?

    The Eastern Africa Power Pool (EAPP) is the regional power-trading institution serving 13 member States and more than 620 million citizens. It is the operational anchor of the African Single Electricity Market, coordinating cross-border transmission, joint planning and eventual competitive trading between national utilities.

    How much generation capacity does the EAPP have?

    The pool carries roughly 76.8 GW of installed capacity against peak demand of about 58.4 GW — a utilisation of around 76%. Egypt alone accounts for 58,000 MW, which exceeds the rest of the pool combined and is why it is charted separately in Section II.

    Which EAPP countries have a generation surplus, and which run a deficit?

    Ethiopia, Tanzania and Uganda hold substantial reserve margins above national peak demand. Eastern DR Congo (−9.7%), Sudan (−16.7%) and South Sudan (−56.7%) run structural deficits, met with expensive thermal and diesel generation. The commercial opportunity in the region is the distance between those two groups.

    What is the dominant generation technology in the region?

    Hydropower dominates at about 61% of the regional mix, followed by gas at roughly 22%, geothermal at about 7% and other renewables at around 10%. That hydro concentration is the pool's principal climate-risk exposure: a dry year is a supply event across several member States at once.

    How much transmission capacity connects EAPP members?

    Inter-utility transfer capacity has expanded from 654 MW to 4,720 MW — a 7.2× increase. It nonetheless remains the binding constraint. Generation has grown considerably faster than the corridors available to move it, which is the finding this brief is built around.

    What does electricity cost across the pool?

    Delivered cost of energy spans roughly $0.025/kWh for large regional hydro to about $0.55/kWh for emergency diesel in deficit markets — a more than twenty-fold spread. That spread, not generation scarcity, is the core commercial case for interconnection.

    Who wrote this brief and what is it based on?

    It was written by Salome Temba for Interglobal EcoVista as Intelligence Brief 1 of 2026, translating the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa report on the Eastern Africa Power Pool into an investment-facing read. Figures 1 and 2 are reproduced from that brief; methodology and source notes are in the footer.

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